Given the rapid growth of UAS operations for governmental purposes, there appears to be tremendous potential for U.S. industry in the evolving commercial UAS sector. However, it is extremely difficult to determine actual commercial market size in light of the many regulatory and technological obstacles to be overcome before UAS can be integrated into civilian air space. Various studies have been conducted regarding the future market opportunities for civil UAS sales worldwide.
Many analysts are bullish on market growth, although there is wide variance in views about the actual market size, which range from a healthy 10-15 percent per year to order of magnitude growth in civil market opportunities. According to a 2010 market study by the Teal Group, the current UAS market will more than double in the next decade: worldwide UAS Research, Development, Test & Evaluation (RDT&E) and procurement expenditures are expected to increase from $4.9 billion in 2010 to over $11.5 billion in 2019.54 The study suggests that the U.S. will account for 76% of RDT&E spending on UAS technology over the next decade and 58% of the procurement. Finally, the study predicts that UAS demand will be highest in the U.S., with Europe representing the second largest market, followed closely by Asia-Pacific.
US Commerce Department
US Commerce Department
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